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Subject:Pick a number
Time:05:23 pm
Yes, there's a good reason for this. I'll explain later.

Poll #1497375 Pick a number

Pick a number:

Mean: 5.97 Median: 7 Std. Dev 2.90
1
7(8.8%)
2
4(5.0%)
3
11(13.8%)
4
7(8.8%)
5
6(7.5%)
6
3(3.8%)
7
11(13.8%)
8
12(15.0%)
9
9(11.2%)
10
10(12.5%)
comments: Leave a comment Previous Entry Share Next Entry


jpmassar
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 01:26 am (UTC)
I used an RNG. I don't know if that qualifies as 'picks'.
(Reply) (Thread)


mjosephb
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 01:34 am (UTC)
please don't tell me your RNG picked 7?
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


jpmassar
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 01:52 am (UTC)
Okay, I won't tell you. I'll just cut and paste.


DATA-EDITOR 319 > (1+ (random 10))
7
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


ts4z
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 02:55 am (UTC)
Is that Lisp? Maxima or something?
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


jpmassar
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 03:33 am (UTC)
Lisp
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


stevecohen
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 10:02 pm (UTC)
Almost certainly a pseudo RNG sir.
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


jpmassar
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 11:31 pm (UTC)
The term RNG seems to encompass psuedo RNG's, and that was my assumption.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_number_generation

(It is indeed a psuedo random number generator, btw)
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


trcabbage
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 01:35 am (UTC)
4 votes so far, all for uneven numbers.
(Reply) (Thread)


ronsrants
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 03:58 am (UTC)
I picked 5 because it is right in the middle, balanced evenly between 1 and 10. And I'm a Libra, though my wife works in a library.

-R
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)

songmonk
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 10:03 am (UTC)
You know, that always bothered me. Because 5 isn't balanced evenly between 1 and 10. That's why I prefer to rate things on a scale from 0 to 10 (whether it be integers or rational numbers), b/c then 5 really is in the middle.

(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


ronsrants
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 10:52 am (UTC)
Nah...Zero is just a concept, not a real number. Its something the terrorists believe in.

-R
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


rmd
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 01:37 am (UTC)
i picked 7 because i like the darkside.
(Reply) (Thread)


adb_jaeger
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 04:13 am (UTC)
Ding!
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


cork_dork
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 01:47 am (UTC)
The poll should read "pick an integer between 1 and 10, inclusive."

Otherwise, I'd have picked Pi.
(Reply) (Thread)


whipartist
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 06:18 am (UTC)
"Please choose one of the following numbers."

Pedant.
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


stevecohen
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 10:04 pm (UTC)
I would have picked e if it was an option. Instead I chose i^4.
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


adbjupe
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 12:11 pm (UTC)
Channeling jpmassar
Strategic Vision Polls Exhibit Unusual Patterns, Possibly Indicating Fraud

Shared via AddThis

The article says that this pollster cooks its numbers and proves it by counting the last digits of the polled numbers. And that's what your poll does: a human picking random numbers.
(Reply) (Thread)


tom_bayes
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 01:03 pm (UTC)
Good old Benford's Law.
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


abostick59
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 03:35 pm (UTC)
"Restaurants deteriorate"?
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luckylefty
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 04:02 pm (UTC)
Benford's law might apply to the first digit of poll results; it would definitely apply if they reported total number of people estimated to be on each side, in populations of varying size. But if they are giving percentage results in close contests, the first digit would almost always be 4, and would never be 1 or 9.

But Benford's law doesn't apply to the last digit of numbers, which is what's at issue here.
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


tom_bayes
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 04:33 pm (UTC)
Ha. That's what I get for not actually reading the link after I clicked on it.
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)


drj0402
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 04:08 pm (UTC)
I picked 10 because I deserve it.
(Reply) (Thread)


essaying
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 05:02 pm (UTC)
My first instinct is always to pick 7, but I rejected that as obvious. For some reason, I didn't think of 5 -- 5 tends to turn up often in my life -- born in '55, both my names have five letters, etc. I like 4 because it's tidy, somehow -- I guess because of a square.
(Reply) (Thread)


jiggery_pokery
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 07:10 pm (UTC)
I'm trying to work out what the most interesting thing that you could be trying to discern is! The non-randomness of even the relatively hep people who have you on their Friends list?
(Reply) (Thread)


naughty_halo
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-11 11:00 pm (UTC)
Yeah now I'm really curious to know.
(Reply) (Thread)


jnala
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-12 12:07 am (UTC)
I looked at the last digit on my clock. It was 8.
(Reply) (Thread)


jnala
Link:(Link)
Time:2009-12-12 12:11 am (UTC)
Considering that you didn't ask us to pick a random number - we could have picked our favorite number, for instance - there's no real reason for me to have attempted near-equal probabilities of picking each choice. Just habit. Experience says that following patterns is exploitable, and no reason to deviate from habit just because there's nothing to exploit. :)

Besides, I wouldn't want to offend any of the numbers by playing favorites...
(Reply) (Parent) (Thread)

(Deleted comment)

[icon] Pick a number - Patti
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